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Buy and Hold: How to Perpetuate Your Investment Losses
A recent cartoon in my daily newspaper showed two guys sitting in a bar. One is saying to the other: “I did learn something from my broker...how to diversify my investment losses.” While this struck me as funny, there is certainly an element...

Home Based Business Opportunity: Secrets Of Success In Home Based Business Opportunity, Exposed
Do you have a home based business opportunity or program? Are you doing any affiliate program? What type of home based business opportunity are you doing? Are you a shining success in the home business opportunity that you’re doing? Are you...

Lobster Trapping for Investment Ideas
Recently, my family and I took a trip to Maine to visit relatives. During our stay, we toured the rocky shore lines and took in the beautiful architecture of the old towns. One sunny morning, three generations of Wardlaws boarded a lobster...

Making Outsized Returns in the Stock Market - Using the Dow Theory
The Dow Theory Charles H. Dow Robert Rhea E. George Schaefer Richard Russell The Dow Theory Today Charles H. Dow It is interesting and amazing to note that not until Charles Dow started compiling the Dow Jones Industrial and...

Santa Claus Rally: Is a Year-End Stock Recovery Coming to Town?
Now that we are in the holiday season, you will be hearing more about the so-called "Santa Claus Rally." It is a well-known phenomenon, first discovered by Yale Hirsch and published in his Stock Trader's Almanac. During this year-end rally,...

 
How We Eluded The Bear Of 2000


The date October 13, 2000 will forever be embedded in my mind. It was the day after our mutual fund trend tracking indicator had broken its long-term trend line and I sold 100% of my clients’ invested positions (and my own) and moved the proceeds to the safety of money market accounts. Some people thought we were nuts, but I had come to trust the numbers.

The shake out in the stock market, which started in April 2000, had all major indexes coming off their highs, violently followed by just as strong rally attempts. The roller coaster ride was so extreme that even usually slow moving mutual funds behaved as erratically as tech stocks.

By October, the markets had settled into a definable downtrend, at least according to my indicators. We sat safely on the sidelines and watched the unfolding of what is now considered to be one of the worst bear markets in history.

By April 2001 the markets really had taken a dive, but Wall Street analysts, brokers and the financial press continued to harp on the great buying opportunity this presented. Buying on dips, dollar cost averaging and “V” type recovery were continuously hyped to the unsuspecting public.

By the end of the year, and after the tragic events of 911, the markets were even lower and people began to wake up to the fact that the investing rules of the ‘90s were no longer applicable. Stories of investors having lost in excess of 50% of their portfolio value were the norm.

Why bring this up now? To illustrate the point that I have continuously propounded throughout the 90s; that a methodical, objective approach with clearly defined Buy and Sell signals is a “must” for any investor.

To say it more bluntly: If you buy an investment and you don’t have a clear strategy for taking profits if it goes your


way, or taking a small loss if it goes against you, you are not investing; you are merely gambling.

The last 2-1/2 years clearly illustrate that it is as important to be out of the market during bad times, as it is to be in the market during good times. Want proof?

According to InvesTech’s monthly newsletter it turns out that, measuring from 1928 to 2002, if you started with $10 and you followed the famous buy-and-hold strategy, that $10 would become $10,957.

If you somehow missed the best 30 months, your $10 would only be $154. However, if you managed to miss the 30 worst months, your $10 would be $1,317,803! Thus, my point: Missing the worst periods has profound impact on long-run compounding. There are times when you end up better off by being out of the market.

Interestingly enough, if you missed the 30 best months and the 30 worst months, your $10 would still be worth $18,558, which is 80% higher than the buy-and-hold strategy. This all comes about because stock prices generally go down faster than they go up.

Wall Street and most people tend to overlook the value of minimizing loss, and that is exactly why the bear demolished more than 50% of many peoples' portfolios while I and those who trusted my advice escaped the worst of the beast's rampage.

Ulli Niemann is an investment advisor and has been writing about objective, methodical approaches to investing for over 10 years. He eluded the bear market of 2000 and has helped hundreds of people make better investment decisions. To find out more about his approach and his FREE Newsletter, please visit: www.successful-investment.com.


ulli@successful-investment.com


 

Morningstar: Stocks, Mutual Funds, and Investing
Offers investment research. Covers stocks, funds and college savings plans.
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StockSmart - Putting the Individual Investor Ahead
StockSmart putting individual investors ahead with research that allows individuals to easily compare industry competitors. Take stock quotes to the next ...
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Finance - Stocks-Mutual-Funds Ezine Articles
EzineArticles.com allows ezine or email list publishers to upload or download free expert content that can be used within email newsletters or websites.
ezinearticles.com
 
Finance: Stocks Mutual Funds Articles from EzineArticles.com
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ezinearticles.com
 
NewsIsFree: USATODAY.com: Stocks/Mutual Funds: Information About ...
USATODAY.com: Stocks/Mutual Funds · Original XML Source Money Classifieds - Stocks/Mutual Funds Copyright 2011, USATODAY.com, USA TODAY ...
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Online Giving - Campus Crusade for Christ International
Credit Card by Mail or Phone. Other Ways to Give. Non-Cash Gifts: Stocks, Mutual Funds, & Property Gifts · Planned Giving: Wills, Trusts & Annuities ...
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New way to watch stocks, mutual funds & 401k at office. Free ...
Excel workbook for stocks and mutual funds. Download quotes directly from Internet.
www.esquotes.com
 
News From The Associated Press
Copyright 2005 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed. Comments and questions.
customwire.ap.org
 
Google Finance Launches : Track Stocks, Mutual Funds & Companies
Google Finance offers an easier way to search for stocks, mutual funds, public and private companies. Further, Google Finance also offers a broad range of ...
www.quickonlinetips.com
 
Yahoo! Answers - Individual stocks, mutual funds, and ETFs?
2 answers - what are the difference between individual stocks , mutual funds and ETFs? which one is better for investment ?
answers.yahoo.com
 
Petition Spot :: View Forum - Investing: Stocks, Mutual Funds
Investing: Stocks, Mutual Funds Moderators: None Users browsing this forum: None, Goto page. Post new topic · Petition Spot Forum Index->Investing: Stocks, ...
www.petitionspot.com
 
Donate Stocks/Mutual Funds/Bonds: Beth Israel Deaconess Medical ...
Subordinate Link Selected Link (Level 3): Donate Stocks/Mutual Funds/Bonds · Subordinate Link Donate by Telephone · Subordinate Link Employee Giving ...
www.bidmc.harvard.edu
 
Gifts of Stocks/Mutual Funds/Bonds: Beth Israel Deaconess Medical ...
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U.S. stocks - mutual funds that invest in American companies ...
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Investment capsule: - stocks, mutual funds and fixed income Money ...
Investment capsule: - stocks, mutual funds and fixed income from Money Digest in Business & Finance provided free by LookSmart Find Articles.
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Free short term stock picks. Buy, sell and hold recommendations. Stock market, financial investments, quotes, mutual funds.
home.flash.net
 
Stocks/Mutual Funds - Gospel for Asia
14500 native missionaries already serve and plant over 10 churches daily. Help sponsor a native missionary for $30 per month. 100% goes directly to the ...
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Keeping Good Records: Stocks, Mutual Funds, and Bond Investing.
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