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10 Things to Think About When You Run Your Own Seminar or Workshop
Experts on all kinds of subjects, at some point in their careers, often try to run seminars or workshops. There are lots of reasons why they do it, but the main one is money. These can be very lucrative money- spinners if done correctly. An awful...
7 Guidelines for Successful Business Development
Wouldn’t you like to close more sales? Business development is the heart and soul of growth in your organization, yet not always the easiest thing to do. I would like to share with you seven powerful guidelines that have brought success to my...
Creativity In The Workplace
This article introduces the concept of fostering creativity in the workplace as a prelude to building a world-class Knowledge Creation and Management system. Peter Drucker was quoted in Forbes Magazine’s Management New Paradigms “Managing people...
Grassroots Internet Marketing Campaign
You may use this article for reprint, as long as it remains unaltered and the resource box and author information are included. Grassroots Internet Marketing Campaign Many people, in a rush to spike sales through the roof, think too big...
How You Can Avoid My Data Recovery Nightmare
Many subjects related to your work might be more fun, more sexy. Who wants to talk about data backups, disaster preparedness and data recovery? I sure didn't. But, a disturbing thought kept popping into my head for days . . . "You better spend...
 
Robert Rodriguez Weathers the Stock Market

Robert Rodriguez likes to buy stocks at their lows. When there are not enough stocks hitting new lows, he closes his fund and piles up cash. This is what he has been doing lately. His moves deserve attention for good reasons, his $1.7 billion FPA Capital Fund has averaged an annual total return of more than 17% over the last 20 years, net of sales charge, handily beating all the benchmarks by wide margins.

As Robert Rodriguez finds slim pickings in the stock market, his goal has changed to capital preservation. The cash position in his fund has been in steady increase. On March 31, 2005 , it is at 34%. As a reference, between 1984 and 1997, his cash level was rarely above 5% and most of the time it was less than 2%. Now he is sitting on this big trunk of cash, awaiting opportunities. "You never know the value of liquidity until you need it and don't have it." He said, “This is one of those times when it takes a great deal of patience, discipline, and conviction to maintain such a contrarian position, because of the potential business and investment risk that it entails.”

Robert Rodriguez’ contrarian position in investment goes beyond adjusting the level of cash. He also reduces his fund’s weighting in the sectors or industries that he thinks are overpriced. He has done this before. The years of 1979 –1981 was the time of the second oil crisis, oil and gas prices were soaring. Many "experts" were forecasting oil prices of $100 per barrel within ten years. Energy stocks were being valued as growth stocks and represented nearly 31% of the S&P 500's market capitalization. Robert Rodriguez went to the contrary; he liquidated all his energy stocks and bought bonds. The oil mania resulted in large-scale capital destruction with virtually every bank in the state of Texas going bankrupt by 1987.

Robert Rodriguez’s contrarian investment style was tested again during the peak of the tech bubble. In March 2000, he analyzed the operating and stock market performances of Microsoft and Cisco Systems, made growth assumptions for them and the U.S. economy. He biased down the expected growth and valuation assumptions for each of these companies. The result was that Microsoft's


market valuation would increase to 36% of nominal GDP. Cisco's expected market valuation would rise to 48% of nominal GDP. The combination of these two estimates would equal 84% of GDP by 2010. Apparently (now) the odds of this happening were not great. In light of these trends, he reduced his Fund's exposure to technology stocks. We all know how that bubble ended.

So what sectors does he like or dislike right now? He has energy stocks at 19.3% of the Fund, it is between three and four times the weighting of the various indexes. This is the highest energy allocation that he has had since 1979, when he began selling this sector. Financial service stocks total 2.1%; the lowest allocation he has had in 35 years. His reason: financial sector is at or near-record representation in all the major indexes. Financial service companies represent nearly 21% of the S&P 500's market capitalization -- a 33-year high. They are among the largest components in other stock indexes as well. In terms of operating profits, they comprise almost 28% of the S&P 500.

In summarizing his contrarian investment style, Robert Rodriguez listed these key attributes:

Focus on market leadership or niche companies that are in industries that are perceived to be out of favor and unloved — a bottom-up strategy.
Select companies that have strong balance sheets — typically with total debt to total capital of less than 40%.
They must be at a significant valuation discount to the market and its historical valuation parameters.
Acquire them at modest premiums to book value and at less than 1x revenues.
They should be on or close to being on the new low list.
Have a long-term investment time frame — typically three to five years.

About the Author

Dr. Charlie Tian, Director of Research of http://gurufocus.com, the website that tracks the stock picks of Warren Buffett, George Soros and other guru investors like Bill Nygren, Mason Hawkins, Ken Fisher, David Dreman, Martin Whitman, James Gipson, Robert Rodriguez, Ronald Muhlenkamp, Wallace Weitz, William, Ruane, Edward Lampert, Edward Owens, Richard Aster, Jr, Robert Olstein, John Keeley, Brian Rogers and Tweedy, Browne.

 

Oral Presentation Advice
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Presentation Skills
This site contains annotated links to resources concerned with presentation and communication skills.
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Neurobehavioral Systems, Inc.
Neuroscience stimulus delivery software can be used for cognitive psychology, fMRI, erp and single unit research (Windows).
nbs.neuro-bs.com
 
Why tables for layout is stupid: problems defined, solutions offered
Why tables for layout is stupid:. problems defined, solutions offered. Tables existed in HTML for one reason: To display tabular data. ...
www.hotdesign.com
 
The Gettysburg Powerpoint Presentation
This presentation prepared with the help of Microsoft Powerpoint Autocontent Wizard. ... Permission is granted to use this presentation in any course or ...
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Presentation Zen
I love the clear presentation of the ideas in the book and the fact that the ... In the context of presentations, moving info away can help you and the ...
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Presentation Tips for Public Speaking
Better Public Speaking & Presentation - Ensure Your Words Are Always ... On the Job: Public Speaking Tips - Twelve Steps to Great Presentations by Elise ...
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Presentation - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Presentation is the process of presenting the content of a topic to an ... You should plan to rehearse your presentation out loud at least four times. ...
en.wikipedia.org
 
OSCON 2005 Keynote - Identity 2.0
“A barn-burner of a presentation. I loved this.” - Cory Doctorow. “I watched it twice, and greatly enjoyed it both times.” - Jon Udell ...
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Presentations - Effective Communication - Public Speaking
Tips and tools for creating and delivering presentations: text, techniques and technology.
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Effective Presentations homepage
In addition, the skills needed to prepare an oral presentation can be used ... A spiffy presentation discussing Effective Teaching with Powerpoint from the ...
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Impress
Your presentations will stand out with 2D and 3D clip art, special effects, animation, ... Slide show Animation and Effects bring your presentation to life. ...
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PRESENTATIONPRO - experts for Microsoft PowerPoint
A series of products and services to help enhance PowerPoint presentations with templates and backgrounds.
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Leadership - Presentation Skills
Presentation, PowerPoint, and Leadership. ... Presentations and reports are ways of communicating ideas and information to a group. But unlike a report, ...
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Presentation: See what people are saying right now on Technorati
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Secretary of State Addresses the U.N. Security Council
My friends, this has been a long and a detailed presentation. And I thank you for your patience. But there is one more subject that I would like to touch on ...
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